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The Impact of Governance & Globalization on Forecasting
(Traducción en Español)
D. Brouse, M. Hammel, and S. Mukherjee
The Economics Of Y2K
Forecasting methodologies, such as qualitative analyses, time series analysis & projection, and econometric models, are widely used throughout U.S. businesses and governmental agencies.
The chaotic relationship of three key factors is likely to make traditional forecasting tools and methods increasingly unreliable:
Examples include peer-to-peer networks and music swapping websites.
The Patriot Act and the Homeland Security Department are examples of the U.S. Federal Government's attempt to control based on their forecasting methods. However, the side-effects actually force all people, both good and bad, to decentralize their activities. The result is encrypted data tunnels and underground communication networks.
State governments are experiencing more difficulty controlling their tax receipts (in large part due to digital distribution of goods and services). As states try to control taxes based on your location, they will encourage the development of decentralized business systems.
This complicates the already inadequate and convoluted accounting systems in use by municipal government for over a century. For example, until 1985, many municipal governments did not have a fixed asset accounting system, nor did they have even an accurate inventory of all their assets. Therefore, the taxing authorities had no factual basis on which to tax their constituents.
Global warming, insect borne viri, nuclear fallout, reforms to flood insurance, and other weather related phenomena suggests a more literal tunneling under.
The Sleeping Giant Vs. The Ghost In The Machine
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John F. Nash, Jr.'s Equilibrium for Non-cooperative Games Theory and Le Chatelier's Principle (known as the Law of Chemical Equilibrium) as Examples of: What to Expect from The Golden Rule's Social Justification , Think Tank (2003)
Report Warns Rising Ocean Temperatures Will Kill Most of the Coral on the Great Barrier Reef by 2050, AP (2004)
Europe's Largest Glacier Shrivels Under Global Warming, AFP (2003)
Bush Rejects Global Warming Treaty, Associated Press (2001)
This Year Was the 2nd Hottest, Confirming a Trend, U.N. Says, Associated Press (2001)
The prevailing scientific view is that continued and increased emissions of greenhouse gases will disrupt the Earth's climate in the foreseeable future., State Of NJ (1998)
Silent Earthquake, CNN (2002)
Signals Mount That a New El Niño is Gathering Steam, Peter N. Spotts (2002)
You Are A Suspect, William Safire (2002)
Taming the Task of Checking for Terrorists' Names, Sarah Milstein (2002)
The Economics Of Y2K, D. Brouse, D. Brouse, T. Brouse, M. Hammel, and S. Mukherjee (1995)
Arrival Of The Cuckoo Wasp, D. Brouse (2003)
Mystery Cancer Wiping Out Tasmanian Devils, Reuters (2003)
The Fight Against the Rising Tide, Charles Arthur (2004)